Probabilistic typhoon hazard and sensitivity analysis for nuclear power plant sites in Korea using logic tree

초록

There has been an increase in typhoon intensity, and high-intensity typhoons can affect the safety of nuclear power plants (NPPs). Typhoons can damage the structures, systems, and components (SSCs) of NPPs, causing core damage and the release of radioactive materials into the environment. Therefore, design criteria for the effects of natural phenomena are demanded to ensure the safety-critical SSC functions of NPPs. Also, there is a need for safety assessments of typhoons in operational NPPs, which require typhoon hazard analysis. In this study, we derived typhoon hazards for NPPs in Korea using Logic Tree and Monte Carlo simulations. We performed sensitivity analysis on the typhoon hazards based on the distances (up to 100 km) from the NPP sites. Among other NPP sites, the typhoon hazard of the Kori site showed the highest wind speed, and the Hanul site showed the lowest wind speed. The uncertainty of the wind speed increased as the recurrence interval of the typhoon hazard increased. We compared the typhoon hazard in the areas of interest to that within 100 km. The range of the distance deviation for the Hanbit site's typhoon hazard was within mu +/-sigma up to 75 km, while for the other sites, it was within mu +/-sigma up to 100 km.

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