Probabilistic safety assessment of off-site power system under typhoon considering failure correlation between transmission towers

초록

High-intensity typhoons can cause failure to the structures, systems, and components of nuclear power plants (NPPs) and off-site power systems. Instances have occurred where failure of the off-site power system caused by typhoons has affected NPPs. The off-site power system has been in cases where a typhoon failed multiple transmission towers. In Korea, transmission towers have similar design criteria and material properties and experience similar wind characteristics, leading to a correlation in their failure probabilities. Assuming independent or totally dependent failure probabilities among the transmission towers is unrealistic. For a realistic PSA of the off-site power system due to typhoon-induced high winds, it is necessary to consider an appropriate failure correlation. This study performed a PSA of an off-site power system due to typhoon-induced high winds, considering the failure correlation between transmission towers. The failure correlation between transmission towers based on distance was calculated. The wind fragility of the off-site power system was convolved with the typhoon-induced high-wind hazard at the Kori NPP to calculate the probability of the NPP losing its power supply. Thus, applying the failure correlation of typhoon-induced high winds to the PSA of the off-site power system is considered realistic.

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