공급망 위기 대응을 위한 정부의 임무지향형 R&D 지원의 경제효과 분석

초록

This study aims to analyze the economic ripple effects of the Korean government's R&D support policy in the materials, parts, and equipment (MPE) industry from a mission-oriented R&D perspective, focusing on the "So-bu-jang 1.0 and 2.0" initiatives. The analysis covers the period from 2016 to 2023, using government-funded SoBuJang R&D projects within four years before and after 2020 as a sample. Economic effects-including production inducement effects, value-added inducement effects, and forward-backward linkage effects-are analyzed by utilizing reported technology-contributed sales data and the 2020 Input-Output Tables from the Bank of Korea. The results reveal two key findings. First, while changes in R&D support policies alone did not significantly improve short-term production and value-added inducement effects, the forward linkage effect (influence coefficient) increased significantly. This suggests that the government's focus on key items with high ripple effects to overcome supply chain crises has strengthened their influence within the industrial structure. Second, higher performance efficiency among R&D project participants was associated with increased production and value-added inducement effects, highlighting the critical role of public-private collaboration and private sector innovation capacity in the success of mission-oriented R&D policies. These findings suggest that, in addition to policy design, selecting high-performing participants is crucial for achieving tangible economic outcomes in mission-oriented R&D programs. This study contributes to the literature by applying a mission-oriented R&D framework to assess SoBuJang R&D policies and analyzing their effects using input-output analysis, providing a novel perspective on policy evaluation. Furthermore, by empirically demonstrating the importance of considering private sector capabilities in R&D project selection, this research offers insights for enhancing the efficiency of future government R&D investment strategies.

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